Jubilee Party Strongholds NASA Strongholds
Elgeyo Marakwet, Kakamega,
Uasin Gishu, Trans Nzoia,
Nyeri, Homa Bay,
West Pokot Lamu,
Laikipia Mombasa, Taita Taveta, Kwale, Kilifi, Makueni, Machakos and Kitui
Total registered Voters = 7.4 million Total= 8.2 million
According to Muluka,the remaining counties are battlegrounds, including Nairobi, have about 4 million registered voters.
Uhuru should not sit pretty since things are not looking the way they were last time.So he was supposed to go all out especially to places he ignored.
In 2013,Political analyst Mutahi Ngunyi told Kenyans the Jubilee strongholds had more registered voters than the CORD regions. This time we have the situation has reversed. If NASA supporters turn out in large numbers , then Uhuru will surely lose.
“Forget about what the pollsters have been giving us. Their scientific figures have been in question and the truth of the matter is the tyranny of numbers favors NASA”,Muluka wrote on The Star.
The President, who obviously works with intelligence, knows that things are bad and his frustration has sometimes been expressed from the nature of his campaigns and communication. He does not necessarily go out to endear himself to the electorate. You see him shouting and screaming, almost going out of control and starting to confront individual members of the campaign crowd. This is not the done thing unless you are frustrated. People don’t like a leader who looks at them as a massive clustered population and speaks to them threatening things like ‘I will deal with you when I get there’ and ‘I don’t need your votes’. This costs votes.
His handlers ought to have told him that he needs to be cool, level headed and amiable. Amiability has been missing in Uhuru, instead it has been seen more in Raila. When he talks about what he thinks have been the failings of Uhuru and Jubilee, he does not bring out anger. Uhuru is aware that he has a difficult assignment and has to put his best foot forward. Losing some of his 2013 political friends like Charity Ngilu and Professor Sam Ongeri is also taking its toll.
-Analysis by Barrak Muluka on The Star